How The Epidemic (Covid – 19) Is Affecting The Global Remittances Sector?
The latest estimates released in the World Bank’s Migration and Development Brief predict a 14 percent drop in migrant workers’ remittances home by 2021 versus pre-COVID-19 terms in 2019.
There will be a 7 percent decline in remittances to low and middle-income countries (LMICs) in 2020, followed by another 7.5 percent decline in 2021, to $470 billion. Low economic growth in the countries where migrants live and low employment levels, low oil prices, and weak currencies in the remittance-source countries have contributed to the decline in remittances.
COVID-19’s global economic impact. The pandemic has been a profoundly personal and unique experience that shares an unprecedented, globally pervasive phenomenon. International patent gateways like PayU are getting stronger each day.
As a result of the pandemic, many lives disrupts. And there is negative growth in global economic at a level never before seen.
Global economic growth declined by 3.4% to 7.6% in 2020 due to the virus, recovering at a rate of 4.2% to 5.6% in 2021. The estimates for global trade for 2020 indicate a fall of 5.3% but 10.0% growth for 2021. As a result of fiscal and monetary policies governments adopted in 2020, analysts’ consensus indicates the economic downturn was not as dramatic as initially projected.
The second and third quarters of 2020 characterizes by a decline in economic growth and a rebound following. Still, forecasts confound since the health crisis’s prolonged nature and its impact on the global economy.
Central banks and governments are considering the impact of reducing monetary and fiscal support. As some developed economies start to recover out of concern for inflationary pressures. Balanced against any potential slowdown in the recovery process.
Effects on Global Economy
As disease variants emerge and pandemic hotspots roll out, and concerns aggravate. By at least 2024, main advanced economies, which cover 60% of global economic activity, are projected to perform below their potential levels. Indicating lower national and individual economic wellbeing than pre-pandemic levels.
While the global economy has slowed down synchronously during the first half of 2020. A two-track recovery has begun in the third quarter of 2020. It has been marked by a slow down in developed economy growth but increased growth in developing countries.
People of larger share of the better economies’ got vaccination . Thus raising prospects of economic growth in 2021 and a stronger global economy overall. COVID-19’s new variants, an increase in diagnosed cases in several large developing economies, and a lack of vaccine resistance among some populations in developed economies raise concerns about the strength and speed of an economic recovery in the near term.
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Wrapping Up
Vaccines may reduce the economic impact in developed economies, thus allowing them to return to pre-pandemic levels. However, there are chances that a new strain of the virus would prolong the pandemic and make recovery more difficult.
